Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.2%
Draw
31.1%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.23
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).