Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Sheffield United
23.0%
Draw
15.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Sheffield United
vs
0.84
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).