Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Reading
17.7%
Draw
12.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Reading
vs
0.75
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).