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27 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Dunfermline
27.3%
Draw
54.5%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Dunfermline

vs
1.73

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-2
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).