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12 Feb 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.1%
Draw
19.2%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
0.83

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).