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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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0.7%
Larkfield & New Hythe
2.3%
Draw
97.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.40

Larkfield & New Hythe

vs
4.76

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS32.7%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.4%
Over 2.588.7%
Over 3.575.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-4
12.4%
0-5
11.8%
0-3
10.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-4
5.0%
1-5
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
1-1
1.1%
2-4
1.0%
2-5
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).