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19 Apr 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Monaco
22.7%
Draw
29.7%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Monaco

vs
1.28

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).