Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.7%
Ajaccio
11.0%
Draw
85.4%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Ajaccio
vs
2.56
Lens
Markets
BTTS27.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.8%
0-3
15.2%
0-1
14.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-5
5.0%
1-1
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
2.2%
1-5
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).