Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Cardiff
28.8%
Draw
40.7%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Cardiff
vs
1.35
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).