Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Moreirense
22.4%
Draw
56.5%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Moreirense
vs
1.77
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
10.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).