Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Carlisle
26.3%
Draw
42.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Carlisle
vs
1.24
Wigan
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).