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17 Apr 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Tranmere
22.5%
Draw
47.2%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Tranmere

vs
1.73

Salford

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).