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29 Jun 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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86.9%
Bodø / Glimt
8.3%
Draw
4.8%
Sarpsborg 08

Expected Goals (xG)

3.65

Bodø / Glimt

vs
0.86

Sarpsborg 08

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.582.7%
Over 3.565.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
9.0%
4-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
5-0
6.0%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).