Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Hartlepool
19.0%
Draw
62.6%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Hartlepool
vs
2.19
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
0-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).