Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Ad. Demirspor
26.4%
Draw
56.2%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.99
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
0-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).