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14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.4%
Wolves
28.5%
Draw
24.1%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Wolves

vs
1.07

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).