Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
York
17.0%
Draw
11.3%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
York
vs
0.99
Torquay
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).