Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Marseille
18.9%
Draw
20.0%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Marseille
vs
1.26
Brest
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).