Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Como
20.3%
Draw
9.4%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Como
vs
0.50
Lecce
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-0
10.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).