Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Venezia
25.3%
Draw
24.5%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Venezia
vs
0.98
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).