Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.6%
Notts County
10.0%
Draw
5.4%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
Notts County
vs
0.92
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.1%
Over 3.564.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
5.4%
5-1
4.9%
1-1
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).