Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Malaga
26.0%
Draw
18.3%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Malaga
vs
0.73
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).