Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Preston
27.7%
Draw
51.8%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Preston
vs
1.52
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).