Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
FC Koln
29.3%
Draw
23.1%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
FC Koln
vs
0.92
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).