Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Ath Bilbao
22.4%
Draw
20.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.05
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).