Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Bastia
34.1%
Draw
35.5%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Bastia
vs
0.81
Dijon
Markets
BTTS27.6%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.544.4%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.5%
0-1
18.5%
1-0
16.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
1.9%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).