Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Altay
35.0%
Draw
26.7%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Altay
vs
1.02
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.5%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).