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HHT: 10CSV

28 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.0%
St Johnstone
30.0%
Draw
42.9%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

St Johnstone

vs
1.26

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).