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DHT: 10CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Stockport
21.7%
Draw
28.7%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Stockport

vs
1.37

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).