Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Paderborn
26.8%
Draw
36.3%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Paderborn
vs
1.47
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).