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13 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Oldham
27.9%
Draw
35.3%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Oldham

vs
1.33

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).