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26 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Grimsby
28.4%
Draw
27.4%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Grimsby

vs
0.88

Oldham

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).