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DHT: 20CSV

10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Leyton Orient
23.4%
Draw
11.2%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Leyton Orient

vs
0.48

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS30.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.3%
2-0
15.9%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).