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26 Apr 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Motor Lublin
28.7%
Draw
30.5%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Motor Lublin

vs
1.16

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).