Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.7%
Sp Braga
13.2%
Draw
6.1%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Sp Braga
vs
0.68
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).