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AHT: 01CSV

28 Jan 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.7%
Sivasspor
24.7%
Draw
18.6%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Sivasspor

vs
1.23

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).