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HHT: 21CSV

15 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Greuther Furth
25.0%
Draw
26.4%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Greuther Furth

vs
1.30

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).