Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Estoril
19.7%
Draw
54.8%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Estoril
vs
2.20
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).