Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Kasimpasa
30.7%
Draw
22.3%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Kasimpasa
vs
1.08
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).