Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Oviedo
18.3%
Draw
9.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Oviedo
vs
0.61
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).