Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Betis
25.5%
Draw
18.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Betis
vs
0.78
Alaves
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).