Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Toulouse
11.9%
Draw
8.0%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Toulouse
vs
0.78
Amiens
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).