Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Swindon
25.4%
Draw
31.1%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Swindon
vs
1.15
Colchester
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).