Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Jagiellonia Białystok
23.3%
Draw
20.7%
Motor Lublin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.14
Motor Lublin
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).