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DHT: 01CSV

14 Dec 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.9%
Walsall
27.8%
Draw
30.2%
Macclesfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Walsall

vs
0.98

Macclesfield

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).