Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Malaga
28.1%
Draw
36.5%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Malaga
vs
1.16
Elche
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).