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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Rotherham
23.2%
Draw
43.6%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Rotherham

vs
1.50

Reading

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).