Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Pisa
25.3%
Draw
49.9%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Pisa
vs
1.53
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).