Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
West Ham
30.5%
Draw
32.7%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
West Ham
vs
1.21
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).