Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Atalanta
23.3%
Draw
19.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Atalanta
vs
0.90
Genoa
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).